CIK: 0002039415
Total reported value
$935.0M
Reporting period: 2026-06-30 · Number of holdings: 75
High Probability Advisors, LLC disclosed 75 holdings in its latest 13F filing for the period ending 2026-06-30, with total reported value of $935.0M and a quarterly turnover rate of 18.0%.
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High Probability Advisors, LLC's disclosed holdings carry a Herfindahl concentration index of 0.061 — mathematically equivalent to about 16 equally-sized positions, well below its 75 actual disclosed holdings. That gap points to a strategy built around a small core of high-conviction bets rather than broad diversification.
Position sizes vary widely across the portfolio (a coefficient of variation of 1.90), with a handful of outsized bets alongside many smaller positions.
Recent activity leans toward adding more aggressively to already-large existing positions than to newly initiated ones (a 2.8 percentage-point tilt) — a pattern consistent with a momentum-following approach.
Sector classification currently covers about 1% of this portfolio's disclosed value; the remainder includes holdings (e.g. unmapped tickers, options, or other security types) not yet covered by our sector mapping.
Add MTUM
+2.5% $35.0M
Trim SCHO
+4.5% $1.6M
Trim SPIB
+5.4% $1.5M
Trim USMV
+6.0% $3.7M
Trim SHYG
+6.6% $1.5M
Trim DIHP
+7.0% $5.2M
| # | Ticker | Issuer | Asset Subclass | Weight | Weight Change | Shares Change | 4Q Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | GSLC | Goldman Activebeta US Lc ETF | ETF-Commodities | 12.55% | -0.08% | +4.89% | |
| 2 | MTUM | Ishares Msci USA Momentum Fa | ETF-Other | 11.81% | +2.16% | +2.45% | |
| 3 | DUHP | Dimensional US High Profi Et | ETF-Other | 7.18% | +0.04% | +6.10% | |
| 4 | DYNF | Ishrs US E F R A Etf-usd INC | ETF-Other | 6.41% | +0.22% | +5.95% | |
| 5 | NYF | Ishares New York Muni Bond E | ETF-Other | 5.51% | +0.24% | +23.34% | |
| 6 | GSIE | Goldman Sachs Activebeta Int | ETF-Commodities | 5.20% | -0.26% | +7.48% | |
| 7 | DIHP | Dimensional International Hi | ETF-Other | 4.77% | -0.27% | +6.96% | |
| 8 | SCHO | Schwab Short-term US Treas | ETF-Other | 4.54% | -0.69% | +4.52% | |
| 9 | USMV | Ishares Msci USA Min Vol Fac | ETF-Other | 4.30% | -0.37% | +5.97% | |
| 10 | SCHR | Schwab Intermediate-term US | ETF-Other | 4.15% | +0.09% | +23.71% | |
| 11 | AVUV | Avantis US Small Cap Value | ETF-Small Cap | 3.94% | -0.02% | +5.45% | |
| 12 | FVAL | Fidelity Value Factor ETF | ETF-Other | 3.70% | -0.07% | +4.46% | |
| 13 | SPIB | Ss Spdr P Int C CORP ETF | ETF-Other | 3.36% | -0.46% | +5.41% | |
| 14 | AVEM | Avantis Emerging Markets Eq | ETF-Emerging Markets | 2.99% | +0.15% | +5.28% | |
| 15 | FQAL | Fidelity Quality Factor ETF | ETF-Other | 2.97% | -0.07% | +4.60% | |
| 16 | SHYG | Ishares 0-5 Yr Hy CORP Bond | ETF-Corp Bonds | 2.58% | -0.31% | +6.60% | |
| 17 | IUSV | Ishares Core S&p U.s. Value | ETF-Other | 2.23% | -0.10% | +6.20% | |
| 18 | IVLU | Ishares Msci International V | ETF-Other | 1.70% | -0.14% | +5.10% | |
| 19 | GSSC | Goldman Sachs Activebeta US | ETF-Commodities | 1.65% | +0.12% | +5.57% | |
| 20 | FNDC | Schwab Fndmnt Intl Sm Eq ETF | ETF-Other | 1.59% | -0.13% | +5.60% | |
| 21 | SPTL | Ss Spdr Pf Lng Trm Tsy E-usd | ETF-Other | 1.27% | -0.09% | +12.60% | |
| 22 | SPY | Ss Spdr S&p 500 ETF Trust-us | ETF-Large Cap & Growth | 1.02% | -0.04% | — | |
| 23 | SPYM | Ste Str Spdr Pt S&p 500 ETF | ETF-Large Cap & Growth | 0.55% | +0.01% | +6.15% | |
| 24 | VTEB | Vanguard Tax-exempt Bond ETF | ETF-Other | 0.52% | +0.06% | +32.70% | |
| 25 | IWV | Ishares Russell 3000 ETF | ETF-Other | 0.24% | -0.01% | — | |
| 26 | REZ | Ishars Res And Multi Reales | ETF-Other | 0.23% | -0.02% | +0.14% | |
| 27 | IXUS | Ishares Core Intl Stock ETF | ETF-Other | 0.21% | -0.01% | +6.22% | |
| 28 | IVV | Ishares Core S&p 500 ETF | ETF-Large Cap & Growth | 0.19% | -0.01% | +1.34% | |
| 29 | IWD | Ishares Russell 1000 Value E | ETF-Other | 0.16% | -0.01% | — | |
| 30 | AAPL | Apple INC | Stock-Tech | 0.15% | -0.01% | +0.39% | |
| 31 | DFAC | Dimensional US Core Equity 2 | ETF-Other | 0.14% | -0.01% | -4.39% | |
| 32 | SPMD | Ss Spdr P S&p 400 Midcap ETF | ETF-Other | 0.13% | — | +5.70% | |
| 33 | ACWX | Ishares Msci Acwi Ex US ETF | ETF-Other | 0.13% | -0.01% | -0.35% | |
| 34 | SCHB | Schwab US Broad Market ETF | ETF-Other | 0.12% | — | +2.00% | |
| 35 | IWM | Ishares Russell 2000 ETF | ETF-Small Cap | 0.11% | +0.01% | — | |
| 36 | BNL | Broadstone Net Lease INC | Stock-Real Estate | 0.10% | — | -9.50% | |
| 37 | MSFT | Microsoft CORP | Stock-Tech | 0.08% | — | -10.25% | |
| 38 | GOOGL | Alphabet Inc-cl A | Stock-Comm Services | 0.08% | — | -3.64% | |
| 39 | IJR | Ishares Core S&p Small-cap E | ETF-Small Cap | 0.08% | — | -0.78% | |
| 40 | TT | Trane Technologies plc | Stock-Industrials | 0.07% | — | -2.79% | |
| 41 | VEA | Vanguard Ftse Developed ETF | ETF-Other | 0.07% | — | — | |
| 42 | DFAT | Dimensional US Target Value | ETF-Other | 0.06% | — | — | |
| 43 | OEF | Ishares S&p 100 ETF | ETF-Other | 0.06% | — | — | |
| 44 | ETN | Eaton Corporation plc | Stock-Industrials | 0.06% | — | -8.37% | |
| 45 | ACWI | Ishares Msci Acwi ETF | ETF-Other | 0.05% | — | — | |
| 46 | GVI | Ishares Intermediate Governm | ETF-Other | 0.05% | — | — | |
| 47 | MU | Micron Technology INC | Stock-Tech | 0.05% | +0.05% | NEW | |
| 48 | GBIL | Goldman Sachs Access Treasur | ETF-Commodities | 0.05% | — | +0.43% | |
| 49 | IEI | Ishares 3-7 Year Treasury Bo | ETF-Gov Bonds | 0.05% | — | +0.62% | |
| 50 | NVDA | Nvidia CORP | Stock-Tech | 0.05% | +0.01% | +30.26% |
Performance for Q3 2026
+3.4%
Performance Last 4 Quarters
+19.2%
Based on 69% of reported portfolio value with available pricing
| Period | Holdings | Total value | Stability | Top holdings |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-30 | 75 | $935.0M | 18 | |
| 2026-03-31 | 67 | $781.4M | 11 | |
| 2025-12-31 | 73 | $749.9M | 5 | |
| 2025-09-30 | 65 | $729.3M | 19 | |
| 2025-06-30 | 60 | $668.7M | 0 | |
| 2025-03-31 | 55 | $599.6M | 0 | |
| 2024-12-31 | 55 | $557.8M | 0 | |
| 2024-09-30 | 57 | $587.2M | 0 | |
| 2024-06-30 | 54 | $551.5M | 0 | |
| 2024-03-31 | 56 | $539.1M | 0 | |
| 2023-12-31 | 54 | $495.6M | 0 | |
| 2023-09-30 | 51 | $463.9M | 0 | |
| 2023-06-30 | 47 | $466.0M | — | |
| 2023-03-31 | 43 | $428.1M | — | |
| 2022-12-31 | 44 | $365.3M | — | |
| 2022-09-30 | 42 | $319.5M | — | |
| 2022-06-30 | 44 | $315.8M | — | |
| 2022-03-31 | 45 | $306.1M | — | |
| 2021-12-31 | 41 | $269.3M | — | |
| 2021-09-30 | 39 | $246.8M | — | |
| 2021-06-30 | 39 | $236.6M | — | |
| 2021-03-31 | 34 | $189.6M | — | |
| 2020-12-31 | 33 | $163.4M | — |
High Probability Advisors, LLC's most significant position changes for 2026-06-30: New buy: Micron Technology INC (MU); New buy: Coherent CORP (COHR); New buy: Credo Technology Group Holding Ltd (CRDO); Sold out: Ishares Gold Trust (IAU); New buy: Vanguard Total Intl Stock (VXUS).
| Period | Filed | Type | EDGAR |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-30 | 2026-07-13 | 13F-HR | View on EDGAR |
| 2026-03-31 | 2026-04-13 | 13F-HR | View on EDGAR |
| 2025-12-31 | 2026-01-29 | 13F-HR | View on EDGAR |
| 2025-09-30 | 2025-10-14 | 13F-HR | View on EDGAR |
| 2025-06-30 | 2025-07-09 | 13F-HR | View on EDGAR |
| 2025-03-31 | 2025-04-16 | 13F-HR | View on EDGAR |
| 2024-12-31 | 2025-01-17 | 13F-HR | View on EDGAR |
| 2024-09-30 | 2024-11-12 | 13F-HR | View on EDGAR |
| 2024-06-30 | 2024-11-14 | 13F-HR | View on EDGAR |
| 2024-03-31 | 2024-11-14 | 13F-HR | View on EDGAR |
| 2023-12-31 | 2024-11-14 | 13F-HR | View on EDGAR |
| 2023-09-30 | 2024-11-14 | 13F-HR | View on EDGAR |
| 2023-06-30 | 2024-11-14 | 13F-HR | View on EDGAR |
| 2023-03-31 | 2024-11-14 | 13F-HR | View on EDGAR |
| 2022-12-31 | 2024-11-14 | 13F-HR | View on EDGAR |
| 2022-09-30 | 2024-11-14 | 13F-HR | View on EDGAR |
| 2022-06-30 | 2024-11-14 | 13F-HR | View on EDGAR |
| 2022-03-31 | 2024-11-14 | 13F-HR | View on EDGAR |
| 2021-12-31 | 2024-11-14 | 13F-HR | View on EDGAR |
| 2021-09-30 | 2024-11-14 | 13F-HR | View on EDGAR |
| 2021-06-30 | 2024-11-14 | 13F-HR | View on EDGAR |
| 2021-03-31 | 2024-11-14 | 13F-HR | View on EDGAR |
| 2020-12-31 | 2024-11-14 | 13F-HR | View on EDGAR |
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